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☆ Americans don't have to worry about interest rates getting higher in the Fed's latest move
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-01 | by ( Ayelet Sheffey | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

The Federal Reserve continued its pause on interest rate hikes in November. Still, uncertainty going into 2024 suggests an interest rate cut won't happen anytime soon. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . Still, while the Federal Open Market Committee has remained cautiously optimistic about the direction the economy is moving toward, it doesn't anticipate interest rate cuts will happen anytime soon. Its meeting minutes from September stated that some participants felt it necessary to shift the conversation from "how high to raise the policy rate to how long to hold the policy rate at restrictive levels."

Persons: —, Jerome Powell, Powell, we've, Janet Yellen, Goldman Sachs, David Solomon Organizations: Federal Reserve, Service, Federal, Market Committee, White House's Council, Economic Advisors, Bloomberg, United Auto Workers Locations: American, Ukraine, China

In both cases the outcome would push the Fed from that "golden path" onto a far more familiar one: An economy buckling as borrowing costs rise and confidence wanes. "I don't think it is unavoidable" that joblessness will have to rise significantly for inflation to return to target, Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan said on Monday. But the most important thing is that we stay focused on restoring price stability, and I think that will require some rebalancing in the labor market." Her look at past periods of inflation and disinflation makes her think the labor market may still need a shock for the Fed to succeed. "As nice as it is to see a really strong labor market, when you are trying to get inflation down, that's not your friend."

Persons: Lorie Logan, Philip Jefferson, Austan Goolsbee, Jefferson, Christina Romer, Romer, Goolsbee, that's, Howard Schneider, Ann Saphir, Dan Burns, Paul Simao Organizations: DALLAS, Federal, National Association for Business Economics, Dallas, Chicago Fed, Treasury, University of California, White House's Council, Economic Advisers, Fed, Thomson Locations: U.S, Dallas, Israel, Palestinian, Berkeley

☆ The war against inflation is a long way away from being won
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-17 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

But those data points reflected relative rates of change, not capturing the overall surge that led to the highest inflation level in more than 40 years. The 12-month PPI reading had peaked at an annual rate of 11.6% in March 2022, its highest ever in data going back to November 2010. "Near-term price inflation may do little to contradict rising Fed official and market hope that a benign outcome is being achieved." For their part, Fed officials have indicated they see their benchmark rate rising by at least half a percentage point by the end of the year. So-called core inflation rose 0.2% in June and was tracking at a 4.8% annual rate, much higher than the Fed would like.

Persons: Robert Nickelsberg, Jared Bernstein, Sharp, Andrew Hollenhorst, Hollenhorst, Jerome Powell, That's Organizations: Hannaford, Financial, White House's Council, Economic Advisers, CNBC, Labor Department, Citigroup, Energy, of Labor Statistics Locations: South Burlington , Vermont

☆ Blue-collar workers could save the US from recession as the tech industry withers
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-14 | by ( Juliana Kaplan | Andy Kiersz | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +8 min

After a pandemic-era tech jobs boom — and now bust — more and more Americans are returning to blue-collar work for better pay and more security. As AI stands poised to potentially remake white-collar work, blue-collar work may emerge even more resilient. The Biden administration has been devoted to turning that around, pouring billions into projects devoted to bringing manufacturing jobs back stateside. And another key to the puzzle is treating blue-collar work with respect, like any other work — including high-paying tech jobs. Are you thinking of taking the plunge into blue-collar work, or have you already?

☆ Factbox: Some potential successors to Brainard at the Fed
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-14 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +6 min

Meanwhile, analysts and Fed observers are already swapping notes on potential replacements for Brainard at the Fed from a bench of economists aligned with Biden's Democrats, who control the U.S. Senate. MARY DALYDaly is president of the San Francisco Fed, ascending to that position in 2018 after 22 years at the regional Fed bank, including a stint as its director of research. Furman has been a prominent, Twitter-savvy commentator on macroeconomic and Fed policy. He has a PhD from the University of Virginia and served as a Fed economist for a little over a year in the mid-1990s. With a PhD from Stanford University, he's held staff positions at the Fed board and the San Francisco Fed, where he also served as president before moving to the New York Fed role in 2018.

But the year-over-year price drops for goods have been helping pull overall inflation measures lower, the data compiled by the U.S. software company showed. "Current demand levels are driving retailers to hold prices down and continue to clear out excess inventory," Brown said. New CPI data is scheduled to be released next week, with economists expecting it to show another slowdown. The CEA study tried to isolate the pace of wage growth only in the sectors referred to by Powell, and concluded that it is slowing fast. Wage growth for production workers and supervisors "have both eased substantially."

"Because of the lags involved, policymakers are going to face a very difficult decision about when to stop rate increases or reverse course," Romer said in a keynote address to the American Economic Association's annual meeting in New Orleans. Minutes of the most recent Fed policy meeting in December showed central bankers struggling with the risks, while economists see a high probability that the rate increases will lead to a U.S. recession in the coming year. She collaborated with Berkeley economist David Romer, her husband, to mine Fed meeting transcripts and minutes dating back to the 1940s for the review of U.S. central bank policy. Isolating the shocks, she said, allows a clearer view of how Fed rate increases influence economic output and employment, and over what time frame. Reporting by Howard Schneider; Editing by Dan Burns and Paul SimaoOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Companies American Gas Association FollowWASHINGTON, Dec 7 (Reuters) - The White House on Wednesday launched the first standard on cutting carbon emissions from federal buildings as part of the Biden administration's policy on curbing climate change. The Federal Building Performance Standard requires federal agencies to cut energy use and electrify equipment and appliances to achieve zero emissions in 30% of their buildings by square footage space by 2030. U.S. President Joe Biden wants federal buildings to be emissions free by 2045 as part of his goal of decarbonizing the economy by 2050. To get there, agencies will be buying American-made products such as heat pumps, electric water heaters and other energy efficiency technologies, the White House said. "Eliminating natural gas in federal buildings is an impractical, unscientific and expensive idea that will have no environmental benefit," said Karen Harbert, AGA president and chief executive.

☆ Economist Austan Goolsbee named next Chicago Fed president
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-01 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Economist Austan Goolsbee will take over as president of the Chicago Federal Reserve early next year as the central bank weighs critical policy moves ahead, according to an announcement Thursday. "Austan is an exceptional choice to be the next president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago. Goolsbee comes to the Chicago Fed at a sensitive time for the central bank. A Chicago Fed release announcing the appointment said the new district president is "a leading empirical economist" whose research spans a wide variety of topics. Goolsbee called the Chicago Fed "one of the crown jewels" of the central bank system.

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